UFO Moviez India Limited’s (NSE:UFO) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

UFO Moviez India’s (NSE:UFO) stock is up by a considerable 16% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company’s fundamentals which don’t appear to give a clear sign about the company’s financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on UFO Moviez India’s ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for UFO Moviez India

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for UFO Moviez India is:

1.6% = ₹43m ÷ ₹2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made ₹0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or «retain», we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

UFO Moviez India’s Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

It is quite clear that UFO Moviez India’s ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.1%, the company’s ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, UFO Moviez India’s five year net income decline of 42% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company’s earnings prospects. Such as – low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared UFO Moviez India’s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 7.7% over the last few years.

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if UFO Moviez India is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is UFO Moviez India Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

UFO Moviez India doesn’t pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can’t use them to grow its business. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by UFO Moviez India can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for UFO Moviez India.